Trade Alerts

Jason’s BigDeaL Trade Alert #17

By Todd Johnson on 13-Jul-2015 11:24 am (2 years ago)Options Alert
Our five-play options portfolio was well-positioned for extended Grecco-Chinese turmoil, but with the news early this morning that Greece's creditors had approved a new bailout package, four of our five plays tanked. Only our $25-strike September calls on the PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish ETF (ticker: UUP) posted gains on the news, as the abatement of chaos is bullish for a potential Fed rate hike.... (more)

09-Jul-15 Private Group Rolls

By Todd Johnson on 9-Jul-2015 14:53 pm (2 years ago)Private Alert

09-Jul-2015 Option Rolls

By Todd Johnson on 9-Jul-2015 13:28 pm (2 years ago)Options Alert
Hello all, Our set of weekly rolls is here. We have several positions (including our IWM hedge puts) which need update: ... (more)

Jason’s BigDeaL Trade Alert #16

By Todd Johnson on 9-Jul-2015 13:13 pm (2 years ago)Options Alert
Global financial markets have been in near-total meltdown mode, but our portfolio of positions has held up well, even in spite of gold's inexplicable lethargy. Uncertainty in the Eurozone and the ongoing panic in China are putting extreme pressure on "risk-on" assets and sending investors to traditional safe-havens like U.S. Treasurys and the Japanese yen. Our dollar play, long a loser, came within a penny of its +20% price target on Tuesday, and our play on the S&P 500 utilities sector easily notched 25% gains before more than doubling that same day. All the while, of course, the S&P 500 has been trending lower, which has been good for our puts – only our pair of plays on gold have suffered, and I remain confident that gold will catch a bounce before we head into September.... (more)

Dividend Lab: July 9th CORRECTIVE Hedges for Portfolio

By Todd Johnson on 7-Jul-2015 11:15 am (2 years ago)Retirement Alert
07.07.15 07.09.15: I do my best to proofread. The interest rate hedge was $TLT and should have been classified as $TBT. $TBT, Europe are becoming more and more of a guessing game. Buyi... (more)

Jason’s BigDeaL Trade Alert #15

By Todd Johnson on 6-Jul-2015 13:24 pm (2 years ago)Options Alert
The Greek people delivered a resounding "No!" to their creditors' austerity demands on Sunday, greatly increasing the likelihood of a "Grexit" from the euro, the EU, or both; and potentially... (more)

Dividend Lab: Phone Call for Any Questions

By Todd Johnson on 5-Jul-2015 19:22 pm (2 years ago)Alert
07.05.15 I hope everyone had a great 4th.  I wanted to give everyone a chance to clarify positions; position size; methodology; hedging - if they want to.  If you are subscriber -... (more)

Jason’s BigDeaL Trade Alert #14

By Todd Johnson on 2-Jul-2015 13:47 pm (2 years ago)Alert
Greetings, traders! It's been a tumultuous week: Stocks posted their biggest one-day losses in months on Monday, as the Greek crisis reached its peak. China's stock market has gone into bear territory, off more than 20% from its recent highs. The U.S. Labor Department posted employment data for June that were mixed – unemployment fell to 5.3%, but the number of new jobs came in slightly lower than expected, and the labor-force participation rate dropped, too. Global markets are facing ample uncertainty as the U.S. heads into a three-day holiday weekend. U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Friday, in observance of Independence Day, while Greeks will head to the polls two days later to vote yes or no on declaring their own independence from their international creditors. The tension's so thick you couldn't cut it with a simple knife – you'd need something sharper. The purpose of this newsletter is twofold: One, to make money; and two, to be educational. Nothing teaches lessons better than stinging trading losses, and we've had more than our fair share over the past week. Of course, lots of traders were caught up by the market's sudden declines that began a week ago and accelerated when markets reopened on Monday, but what has been so frustrating about our losses is that we had been waiting for a market crash but were poorly positioned for it when it finally happened.... (more)

02-Jul-2015 Private Group Rolls

By Todd Johnson on 2-Jul-2015 10:14 am (2 years ago)Private Alert

01-Jul-2015 Option Rolls

By Todd Johnson on 1-Jul-2015 14:34 pm (2 years ago)Options Alert
Hello all, We received some interesting gains on weeklies thanks to market decline. Please note that IWM goes ex-divi tonight. Remember also that markets are closed on Friday; the reason we roll our positions today, not on Thursday: ... (more)

DIVIDENDLAB BUY: [$GHC 07.01.15 Spin from Cable One $CABO]

By Todd Johnson on 30-Jun-2015 21:41 pm (2 years ago)Retirement Alert
06.30.15 There are two trades for tomorrow totalling $20000. These will be made on July 1st. Here are the positions to close tomorrow:  1) $ACAD and puts; 2) $SFL which was offiically ... (more)

Jason’s BigDeaL Trade Alert #13

By Todd Johnson on 29-Jun-2015 12:43 pm (2 years ago)Alert
Our Boeing (BA) $150/$145 July credit call spread fell to our price target of a $0.71 bid within eight minutes of this morning's opening bell, allowing us to cover the position and claim $370 in profits on our $1,775 risked, for gains of more than 20%. If you haven't taken profits yet, then you should, by buying-to-close BA's $145-strike July calls, and selling-to-close its $150-strike calls. This, of course, is only for subscribers who entered the position previously. Last Thursday, shortly after we covered our Gilead (GILD) $125/$120 July credit call spread for a $350 loss, our unhedged $126-strike calls on the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) hit our $1.45 price target, allowing us to take gains of nearly 30% – $561 on a $1,904 investment. With our BA position closing out today, that leaves us with a record of six winners and just two losers among our closed-out positions, for net gains of $2,504. Unfortunately, all three of our open positions are fairly deep in the red, and with hindsight 20/20, it's clear we should have dumped our bullish Dow Chemical (DOW) $52.50/ $55 July debit call spread instead of our bearish play in GILD on Thursday. Holding on to our IWM calls a bit longer would have also been wise. As of 10:20am ET today, our three open positions are down a total of $1,980, still leaving us up a net $500+ after six weeks, on pace for annualized gains of $4,541 – well above my mandate of $2,000, but with our losses concentrated in the past six weeks, things have clearly gotten more difficult, and the investment tides are turning. ... (more)

25-Jun-2015 Private Group Rolls

By Todd Johnson on 26-Jun-2015 11:08 am (2 years ago)Private Alert

25-Jun-2015 Option Rolls

By Todd Johnson on 25-Jun-2015 14:11 pm (2 years ago)Options Alert
Hello all, We have several weekly rolls, expiring this Friday. We roll them to the July 2nd - note it's Thursday, as markets are closed on Friday. Let's roll these positions: [order... (more)

Jason’s Alert on IWM position

By Todd Johnson on 25-Jun-2015 13:33 pm (2 years ago)Alert
Hello all, Alert Our IWM $126-strike July puts, which entered at $1.12 on Monday, reached a bid of $1.45, our price target, at 2:18pm ET today. We should take our profits of nearly 30% here. Jason ... (more)

Jason’s BigDeaL Trade Alert #12

By Todd Johnson on 25-Jun-2015 11:16 am (2 years ago)Alert
On Monday I said things would be looking better for our open positions if we waited to take action until today, and I was right. We were down $300 on our BA credit call spread as Big Deal #11's publication, but we're up $150 as of this writing at 10:15am ET. Our UUP September calls have jumped 46% from a bid of $0.28 to $0.41 in that time, even though we're still down on the play. Our GILD credit call spread had gotten away from us as the underlying stock continued its monstrous outperformance, but our unrealized losses have been trimmed, slightly. Our bullish positions in DOW and GLD are down from Monday, but our IWM July puts, which we entered at $1.12, traded at $1.42 earlier this morning, up more than 26% from our Monday entry price. So far in the six weeks that we've been publishing these options newsletters, we've closed out a total of five positions – four winners, one loser – for net gains of $1,923 on an average position size of less than $1,922. But among our six open positions, four are currently losing and the losses are bigger than our open winners' gains. On Monday I said we'd be looking at taking some risk off the board in today's newsletter, rather than entering a new position. This issue of the Big DeaL will be focused on recalibration and regrouping, and we'll reenter the markets with a lighter load on our shoulders Monday. With six open positions, we currently have nearly $12,000 at risk. Rather than adding another two grand to the mix, I think we need to take some of that risk off the board. We could capture the gains on our two winners and let our losers ride in the hope that they recover, but that's a rookie mistake. All things equal, it's much better to take your losses and let your winners run – and that's what we're going to do. ... (more)

Jason’s BigDeaL Trade Alert #11

By Todd Johnson on 22-Jun-2015 11:31 am (2 years ago)Alert
A new investment theme has emerged over the past couple of weeks: U.S. inflation. Last week, the Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that the consumer price index jumped by 0.4% in May, the biggest rise since February 2013 and the fourth-straight monthly gain. Investors sold longer-dated bonds and bought short-term Treasurys and TIPS – Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities – as the combination of Fed dovishness and economic growth signaled that inflation is likely to eat up coupon payments. This will be bearish for U.S.-centric stocks, too, such as financials and those in the Russell 2000 index of small-cap stocks. Inflation should be good for our credit put spread on gold, even though the precious metal is down in early trading today. The dollar is down, too, which is marginally bad for our long-term calls on UUP, but they've been hit so hard and have so much time until expiration, that they remain more likely to go up than down. We're in the GLD/ UUP play for the long haul, given the September expirations, and I still think we'll make out on the pair despite the way the market has whipsawed us thus far. ... (more)

Dividend Lab Private Group: Tweaking Cyber IT Names!!

By Todd Johnson on 21-Jun-2015 23:40 pm (2 years ago)Alert
06.21.15 Private Group: Adjusting Dividend Lab Private Group Positions. I want to make sure we don't sit pat and watch the money go out the door in a market decline. Hi Folks, For ... (more)

Dividend Lab: OUR $WMB SAYS “NO” to 33% SPIKE BUYOUT

By Todd Johnson on 21-Jun-2015 23:26 pm (2 years ago)Alert
06.21.15 Hi Folks, One of our holdings rejected a 33% increase on its shares. This is good news. I am likely to add 4-5 high quality names in this sector that has been knocked down. ... (more)

19-Jun-2015 Private Group Rolls, part 3

By Todd Johnson on 19-Jun-2015 10:32 am (2 years ago)Private Alert

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